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The evidence policy

Every statement on CiderHQ records what kind of statement it is, how well supported it is, and how quickly it is expected to go out of date. This page is the reference for all three.

Cider carries two distinct evidence problems, and the model exists to keep them apart.

The first is ordinary: a great deal of confidently repeated folklore, and a strong commercial pull towards promotional copy. That is handled by grading every claim — what kind of statement, how strongly supported, last checked when.

The second is specific to cider fruit. A cider apple’s acid, tannin and sugar are not constants. They are measurements, taken somewhere, in some year, by some method, on fruit grown in some climate. Long Ashton’s twentieth-century analyses, a modern Cornell trial and a Normandy classification are three different observations of the world, and merging them into one authoritative-looking number would be the single most damaging thing this site could do to its own credibility. So a measurement here is never a bare figure.

Claim types

What kind of statement is being made. The type decides how it may be phrased, and the phrasing rule is enforced editorially rather than left to judgement.

The nine claim types. A claim that cannot be assigned one of these is not a claim CiderHQ knows how to publish.
TypeWhat it isHow it must be phrasedCaveat shown
FactA verifiable statement not seriously contested by authoritative sources.May be stated plainly. Must still carry a source.No
Typical characteristicA tendency across a category, with real variation between orchards, seasons, makers and regions.Must be hedged ("commonly", "typically", "most often") and never written as a universal property.Yes
Regulated requirementA requirement imposed by legislation, a protected designation specification, or a labelling standard.Must name the jurisdiction and the instrument, and must carry an as-of date because rules change.No
ClassificationA category assigned under a named classification system, such as the Long Ashton acid-and-tannin scheme or the French doux/tendre/amer families.Must name the system. A cultivar may classify differently under a different system or in a different climate, and the page must not imply one scheme is universal.Yes
MeasurementA numeric observation of a real sample: acid, tannin, sugar, pH, yield or similar.Must carry its context — where, when, by whom, in what units. Never averaged across incompatible contexts.Yes
Historical claimA statement about past events, people, places or origins.Must avoid "invented by" formulations where the record is gradual, regional or contested.Yes
RecommendationCiderHQ advising a course of action, such as a serving temperature.Must give a range and state its assumptions rather than a single exact figure.Yes
Subjective descriptorA sensory impression that trained tasters will legitimately disagree about.Must be framed as perception, not as a property of the liquid.Yes
Structured inferenceGenerated by CiderHQ's own deterministic rules from other structured data, such as a blend direction or a pairing mechanism.Must be explainable — the reasons that produced it have to be displayable.Yes

Two of these do most of the work in practice. Typical characteristic covers nearly everything anyone wants to say about a category of drink, and it is the type most often written as though it were a fact: farmhouse cider is not dry, it is commonly dry, across a range wide enough that the exceptions are not exceptions. And measurement is the type that carries the whole context model below.

The last of them, structured inference, is what CiderHQ derives for itself — a blend direction, a pairing match, a serving temperature where no source states one. The rule for those is that they must be explainable: the reasons that produced the result have to be displayable, or the result is not shown. How each kind is produced is set out in the methodology.

Evidence tiers

How strongly a statement is supported. Ranked, because the ranking decides what wins when two sources disagree, and because the reader is shown a word rather than a number.

The eight publishable tiers, strongest first. A reader sees the label; the rank is what the site sorts and resolves conflicts by.
TierRankWhat it meansUncertainty shown
Primary authority1Stated directly by the body that defines or regulates the subject — legislation, a protected-designation specification, a national standards or revenue authority.No
Research2Peer-reviewed literature, or analysis published by a university or agricultural research institute.No
Corroborated3Agreed independently by two or more credible sources, with no single defining authority.No
Expert reference4Supported by an established specialist organisation, educational body or standard reference work.No
Traditional record5A descriptive or classificatory statement carried by orchard tradition, a nursery catalogue or a historic survey. Real evidence about how a fruit was used and understood, but not a modern analysis.Yes
Derived by CiderHQ6Produced by CiderHQ's own documented, deterministic rules from better-evidenced inputs. Always explainable.Yes
Common practice7Widely accepted practice among people who make cider, without a formal authority behind it.Yes
Disputed or variable9Credible sources genuinely disagree, or the correct answer legitimately varies by context. Published only where the disagreement is itself explained.Yes

Two tiers that are never rendered

Recorded so that material can be held without being published. Neither reaches a page.
TierRankWhy it is withheld
Needs verification8Recorded but not yet checked against a source of adequate authority.
Do not publish10Known to be wrong, or barred by editorial policy. Never rendered.

Needs verification is the useful one. It lets a contributor record something they have encountered — a figure in a book, a claim made in a forum, a number repeated in three places with no attribution — without either publishing it or losing it. It sits in the data, invisible to readers, until someone checks it against a source of adequate authority or establishes that it cannot be checked.

Disputed is different, and it is published. Where credible sources genuinely disagree, or where the correct answer legitimately varies by context, CiderHQ states the disagreement rather than picking a side and presenting it as settled. A page that explains why two authorities differ is more useful than one that quietly follows whichever was consulted last.

Freshness

How quickly a statement is expected to stop being true. A duty rate and a fermentation mechanism are not the same kind of fact, and treating them the same is how a reference work goes quietly wrong.

Freshness classes and their review intervals. A time-sensitive claim without an as-of date is not publishable at all.
ClassReview intervalWhat it covers
StableNo review neededNot expected to change. Chemistry, mechanism, completed history.
Slow-changing36 monthsChanges over decades. Orchard practice, cultivar behaviour, traditional method.
Time-sensitive12 monthsChanges over years and must carry an as-of date. Duty rates, labelling rules, protected-designation specifications.
The rule that follows from thisA claim marked time-sensitive is refused publication unless it carries an as-of date, and a regulated requirement is refused publication unless it names its jurisdiction. Those are not editorial habits; they are conditions in the code that decides whether a claim may be rendered.

How far a source was actually consulted

Five rungs, recorded per source. The distinction between knowing that a body is authoritative and having read its document is the whole point.

  1. 1Registered

    The body has been identified as competent for a subject, and recorded as such. The document has not been opened.

    CiderHQ is telling you where the authoritative answer lives without claiming to have worked through it. Nothing on the site quotes a figure from a source in this state.

  2. 2Bibliographic record verified

    The work is confirmed to exist in a stated edition — author, title, publisher, year, and usually an ISBN — from a library catalogue, without the work itself having been opened.

    The citation is known to point at a real book rather than a remembered one, and nothing is quoted from it. This is where most printed sources on this site sit, and saying so is the difference between a bibliography and a reading list somebody claims to have finished.

  3. 3Retrieved

    The document was fetched and its existence and identity confirmed.

    The reference is known to be real and reachable, and no more than that.

  4. 4Read

    A contributor read the document.

    General claims may draw on it, and its scope is understood rather than assumed.

  5. 5Passage verified

    A specific passage was located, recorded with its locator — section, page, table or heading — and dated.

    A precise statement can be attributed to it, and anyone can go to the same place in the same document and check.

  6. 6Cited by a claim

    At least one published claim cites it.

    The source is load-bearing. If it turns out to be wrong, the claims that rest on it are found by following the link back rather than by remembering.

Why “registered” is a record and not a gap

Most sites that show sources show a list of links. A link tells you nothing about whether anyone opened it. The commonest form of citation dishonesty on the web is not fabrication; it is a bibliography assembled from search results and presented as reading.

CiderHQ refuses that trade. Where a source has been identified as the body that defines a subject but nobody has yet worked through the document, it is recorded as registered, its access date is left null, and the page says so. That is a true statement about the state of the work, and it is more useful to a reader than a fabricated access date would be. It tells you exactly where the authoritative answer lives, and it tells you that CiderHQ has not yet been there.

It also constrains what may be published. A source in this state can support a statement that a body is the authority for something. It cannot support a quoted figure, a specific threshold or a passage attributed to it — those require the passage to have been located and dated. So the honesty is not merely declarative: the register’s own state field limits what the site is allowed to say.

The consequence is visible on the source register, where the consultation state and date of every source are shown as recorded. Where a retrieval was wanted and did not happen, the attempt is recorded as a gap along with what CiderHQ publishes instead — which is usually nothing.

The register itself, with every source’s state, competence and recorded gaps, is at sources.

Measurements carry their context

The part of the model that exists because of cider fruit specifically.

Consider a single question: how much acid is there in Dabinett juice?

The Long Ashton Research Station analysed cider fruit systematically from 1903 until it closed in 2003, at a site in Somerset, in a maritime English climate, using the analytical conventions of its day — total acid reported as malic acid in percent weight per volume. Cornell’s cider programme runs cultivar trials in New York State, in a continental climate with hotter summers and colder winters, and reports juice chemistry in the modern convention of grams per litre.

If the two disagree, neither is wrong. Acid falls as fruit ripens further, and a warmer season ripens fruit further; the same cultivar on a different rootstock, in a different soil, picked a fortnight later, genuinely carries a different acid load. A Somerset figure from the 1950s and a New York figure from the 2010s are two measurements of two different things that happen to share a cultivar name.

So CiderHQ does not average them, and will not. Averaging destroys the only information that made either number usable: where the fruit grew and when it was measured. What it produces instead is a figure with a false air of authority — one number, three decimal places, no context, endlessly copyable. That single number is how a historic Somerset analysis becomes a universal constant in every subsequent article, and it is the failure mode this entire model exists to prevent.

What the site does instead is show them side by side, each with its location, period, sample count, method and source, and let the spread be the answer. Where several analyses exist, the page says how many there are and states plainly that they are not averaged. Where only one exists, the page says that too — a single historic figure is a single historic figure, not a property of the fruit.

What the model enforcesTwo measurements are only ever shown as comparable figures of the same thing when they record the same property in the same unit. A juice figure never merges with a finished-cider figure even where the property name is the same, because the substrate differs. Units are stored as the source reported them and never silently converted. And nothing is displayed to more decimal places than its unit allows, which is what stops an arithmetic artefact from becoming apparent precision.

What is measured

Each property names the material it is measured in. Two figures for different materials do not merge, which is why the substrate is part of the definition rather than a note on it.

Juice: 23 properties.
PropertyWhat the number tells youUnits it may be expressed in
Total acidHow much acid the juice contains, conventionally reported as malic acid.% w/v, g/L
Malic acidThe dominant acid in apple and pear juice, and the one that tastes sharp.% w/v, g/L
Titratable acidityAcid measured by neutralisation — the quantity of acid, not its strength.g/L, % w/v
pHAcid strength, which governs microbial risk and sulphite effectiveness.pH
Total tanninThe phenolic fraction responsible for bitterness and astringency.% w/v, g/L, mg/L
Soluble tanninThe portion of tannin actually dissolved in the juice, which is what the palate meets.% w/v, g/L
Total phenolicsAll phenolic compounds together, usually reported as gallic acid equivalents.mg/L, g/L
SugarFermentable sugar available to yeast, and therefore potential alcohol.g/L, % w/v, °Bx
Specific gravityJuice density, the practical proxy for sugar before fermentation.SG
BrixRefractometric sugar reading.°Bx
SorbitolA sugar alcohol abundant in pears and largely unfermentable, which is why perry keeps a sweetness cider does not.g/L, % w/v
Assimilable nitrogenThe nitrogen yeast can actually use. Cider juice is often short of it, which is why ferments stall.mg/L
PectinStructural polysaccharide that holds haze and enables keeving.g/L, mg/L
Procyanidin chain lengthThe average degree of polymerisation, which decides how much of the phenolic load reads as bitterness and how much as astringency.:1
PatulinA mycotoxin produced by moulds on damaged fruit, and the reason rotten apples are a food-safety question rather than only a quality one.µg/L
Free amino nitrogenThe amino-acid fraction of the nitrogen yeast can use.mg/L
Ammonium nitrogenThe inorganic fraction of assimilable nitrogen, taken up first and exhausted first.mg/L
GlucoseThe sugar yeast takes up first, and the one an apple carries least of.g/L
FructoseThe dominant sugar in apple juice and about twice as sweet as glucose, so a fructose-rich juice tastes sweeter than its Brix predicts.g/L
SucroseThe transport sugar, hydrolysed to glucose and fructose before it ferments. High sucrose marks fruit still loading sugar rather than fruit at its sweetest.g/L
Total amino acidsThe whole amino pool by mass, only part of which a yeast can use — which is why a juice can be rich in amino acids and short of nitrogen at once.mg/L
ProlineThe amino acid yeast cannot assimilate without oxygen. Abundant in pear juice, and the reason a perry must can look nitrogen-rich on a total-amino figure and ferment as though it is not.mg/L
Phenolic acidsThe non-tannin phenolics — chlorogenic acid and its relatives — which brown readily but contribute little bitterness or astringency of their own.g/L, mg/L
Fruit: 5 properties.
PropertyWhat the number tells youUnits it may be expressed in
Juice yieldHow much juice a tonne of fruit gives up, which depends on the fruit and on the press.L/t, %
Fruit diameterHow big the fruit runs, which decides whether a mill can handle it and how much skin — and therefore phenolic — comes with each tonne.mm
Fruit weightMass of a single fruit.g
Fruit firmnessHow much force the flesh resists, which falls as the fruit ripens and decides whether a mill grates the fruit or smears it.N
Starch pattern indexHow far the fruit has converted its starch to sugar, read off a published iodine chart. The single most used field test of harvest maturity, and a chart position rather than a quantity.SPI
Orchard: 1 properties.
PropertyWhat the number tells youUnits it may be expressed in
Fruit yieldOrchard cropping.t/ha
Finished drink: 21 properties.
PropertyWhat the number tells youUnits it may be expressed in
Alcohol by volumeEthanol content of the finished drink.% ABV
Residual sugarSugar left after fermentation, which sets perceived sweetness.g/L
Volatile acidityMostly acetic acid — the vinegar fault, measured.g/L
Sulphur dioxideAdded or residual SO2, whose antimicrobial effect depends sharply on pH.mg/L, ppm
Dissolved carbon dioxideCarbonation, which governs both texture and bottle pressure.g/L
GlycerolA fermentation by-product that adds weight and a faint sweetness without being a sugar.g/L
Aroma detection thresholdThe concentration at which a compound becomes perceptible — which is why a trace compound can matter more than an abundant one.µg/L, mg/L
Total acid (finished cider)Acid measured after fermentation. Kept apart from the juice figure because malolactic conversion and yeast acid production both move it.% w/v, g/L
Total tannin (finished cider)Phenolic load measured after fermentation, routinely well below the juice figure for the same fruit because fermentation, fining and time remove phenolic material.% w/v, g/L
pH (finished cider)Acid strength after fermentation, which is what governs microbial risk and sulphite behaviour in the vessel rather than in the press.pH
Lactic acidThe acid malolactic bacteria make out of malic acid — softer on the palate than the acid it replaces, and in a fully malolactic cider the dominant one.g/L
Acetic acidThe vinegar acid, measured as itself rather than as the volatile-acidity aggregate it usually hides inside.g/L, mg/L
Succinic acidAn acid yeast makes rather than one the fruit supplies, and the main reason a fully fermented cider is not simply the juice minus its sugar.g/L
AcetaldehydeThe intermediate between sugar and ethanol, which is also what oxidation turns ethanol back into — so the same number can mean a young ferment or an old fault.mg/L
Ethyl acetateThe commonest ester in cider, pear-drop at low concentration and solvent at high, and the compound whose ratio to the higher alcohols tells a maker how clean the ferment was.mg/L
MethanolReleased when pectin is de-esterified, so it tracks the fruit and the enzyme rather than anything the yeast did.mg/L
Higher alcoholsThe fusel fraction — mostly amyl alcohols — which yeast makes from amino acids and which carries much of a cider’s weight and warmth of aroma.mg/L
AcetoinA buttery-smelling ketone made by both yeast and lactic bacteria, and the compound diacetyl reduces to.mg/L
2-PhenylethanolThe rose-scented higher alcohol, made from phenylalanine and one of the few aroma compounds in cider present far above its own threshold.mg/L
Bottle pressureGauge pressure at a stated temperature — what a specification requires, what a bottle must survive, and what decides how the bubble reads in the glass.bar
Taste detection thresholdThe concentration at which a compound becomes perceptible on the palate rather than in the nose. Matrix-specific, and never transferable between a model solution and a real cider without saying so.mg/L, g/L
Fermenting juice: 3 properties.
PropertyWhat the number tells youUnits it may be expressed in
Fermentation temperatureThe temperature a ferment was actually run at, which governs how much aroma is made and how much is blown off with the gas.°C
Fermentation durationHow long a stage of fermentation took under stated conditions. Never a prediction — the same juice at another temperature behaves differently.days, h
Microbial populationViable cells per millilitre, on the log scale. What separates an organism that is present from one that is running the ferment.log CFU/mL

The units, and why they are not converted

A conversion looks harmless and is not. Percent weight per volume is what historic UK juice analyses used for acid and for tannin; grams per litre is the modern convention. The arithmetic between them is trivial, but performing it silently means that a figure a reader traces back to a 1950s table no longer looks like the figure in that table, and the reader cannot tell whether the difference is a conversion or a discrepancy. Storing what the source reported keeps the audit trail intact.

Two of these units exist purely to stop rounding from destroying meaning. Micrograms per litre is kept apart from milligrams per litre because most aroma-active compounds and most contaminant limits live at that scale, and a threshold of 0.05 mg/L rounds away entirely at the precision milligrams are shown to. Parts per million is kept apart from milligrams per litre even though they are numerically equal in dilute solution, because sources use both and the reader should see which was used.

Every unit CiderHQ stores, with the range outside which a value is impossible and the precision beyond which the site will not display it.
UnitSymbolWhat it isPlausible rangeDecimals shown
Percent weight per volume% w/vGrams per 100 ml. The unit historic UK juice analyses used for malic acid and for tannin, which is why CiderHQ stores it rather than converting.0 to 1003
Percent alcohol by volume% ABVMillilitres of ethanol per 100 ml of finished drink.0 to 251
Grams per litreg/LThe modern convention for acid, sugar and tannin in juice and finished cider.0 to 4001
Milligrams per litremg/LUsed for volatile compounds, sulphur species and trace phenolics.0 to 100001
Micrograms per litreµg/LThe scale most aroma-active compounds and most contaminant limits actually live on. Stored separately from mg/L rather than converted, because a threshold of 0.05 mg/L rounds away at the precision milligrams are displayed to.0 to 1000002
Parts per millionppmNumerically equal to mg/L in dilute aqueous solution; stored separately because sources use both.0 to 100001
Degrees Brix°BxRefractometric sugar concentration, calibrated on sucrose. In fermenting juice it reads high because ethanol bends light differently — a caveat CiderHQ states wherever Brix appears.0 to 401
Specific gravitySGDensity relative to water at a stated temperature.0.98 to 1.23
pHpHAcid strength, not acid quantity. A juice can be high in titratable acid and still sit at a microbiologically risky pH, which is why CiderHQ stores both.2 to 92
Percent%A proportion — juice yield, blend fraction, extraction efficiency.0 to 1001
Litres per tonneL/tJuice recovered per tonne of fruit pressed.0 to 9000
Tonnes per hectaret/haOrchard fruit yield.0 to 1201
Degrees Celsius°CTemperature.-40 to 1301
DaysdaysElapsed time.0 to 40000
Ratio:1A dimensionless ratio.0 to 10002
MillimetresmmFruit size. Stored in millimetres even where a source published inches, because every other length on the site is metric and the conversion is exact; the original figure and its unit are named in the measurement’s method.0 to 3000
GramsgMass of a single fruit, which sets how many apples a tonne contains and therefore how much handling a crop needs.0 to 30000
HourshElapsed time on the scale a fermentation experiment is sampled at. Stored alongside days rather than converted, because a source that reports "72 h" is reporting a sampling point and a source that reports "3 days" is reporting a duration, and rounding one into the other loses which was meant.0 to 200000
Log colony-forming units per millilitrelog CFU/mLViable microbial population, on the log scale microbiology actually reports it on. Stored as the logarithm rather than the count because the difference between 10⁶ and 10⁸ cells is two units of biological meaning and six orders of typographic noise, and because a plate count is only ever accurate to about half a log.0 to 121
BarbarGauge pressure inside a closed bottle at a stated temperature. The unit the French cider appellations specify carbonation in, and the one a bottle is rated in; it is not interchangeable with grams of dissolved CO₂ per litre without knowing the temperature, so CiderHQ stores whichever the source used.0 to 151
NewtonsNForce to drive a penetrometer probe of a stated diameter into the flesh. The unit fruit firmness is reported in, and meaningless without the probe size, which is why the probe belongs in the measurement’s method rather than in the number.0 to 2001
Starch pattern indexSPIA position on a published starch–iodine chart, not a quantity. The charts run 1–8 and 1–10 depending on which one a laboratory uses, and a 6 on one is not a 6 on another, so the chart is named in the method and the two are never compared.1 to 101

The plausible range is not a style guide. A value outside it fails the data audit and the build stops, because a tannin figure of 40% w/v is not a surprising result — it is a typo, and a reference work that publishes typos as findings is not a reference work.

Where this leads next

The source register is where the policy is made good, source by source. Methodology covers the material CiderHQ derives rather than cites, and what each derivation refuses to claim. Editorial standards covers the separate question of how any of it may be phrased.